The Storm Prediction Center has highlighted an Enhanced Risk (Level 3 of 5) to include places like Marshall, Henderson, Nacogdoches, Lufkin, Center, and Hemphill. This means that scattered to numerous severe storms are expected. There is a Slight Risk (2/5) for the rest of our area. This means that isolated to scattered severe storms are expected.
Damaging, straight-line winds in excess of 70 mph will be the main concern as a squall line will develop in central Texas and then push through East Texas during the day on Tuesday. Tornadoes will also be possible along the leading edge of the line. If isolated supercells can develop ahead of the main line, then the tornado threat will increase. In fact, we could even see a strong tornado (EF-2 or stronger) develop in the red area below.
All modes of severe weather will be possible as a cold front moves through the area. In the upper levels, a strong Jetstream will be moving across our area which will increase the threat of storms Tuesday and Tuesday evening. Below is a look at what the KETK Model has for Tuesday.
Regardless of severe weather, this cold front will bring in much colder temperatures.