TYLER, Texas (KETK) – The East Texas Storm Team is tracking the potential of heavy rain & possible flooding in parts of our area through the week. There is a good chance that areas north of US HWY 79 (and west of HWY 259) could receive more than 3 inches of rain.
TRACKING THE STORMS
The rain we expect to see could be very heavy. Some areas could receive over 3 inches, and Futurecast has potentially 5 inches in a few areas.
Rain and storms have already pushed through so far, and more expected early Wednesday morning.
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The four main ingredients for storms are coming together to bring the heavy rain and possible flooding risk to portions of East Texas. I’ll break those down for you.
1. Moisture. This is evident by how humid it has been the last few afternoons. Gulf moisture will stay with us until the front can arrive at the end of the week.
2. Heat (instability). Similar to the moisture mentioned above, we have seen hot temperatures the last few days. This heat source is enough to keep storms lasting longer and produce more heavy rain.
3. Trigger (a front, upper disturbance). We have both of these nearby. The cold front is to our north and will stay stalled for the next few days.
Now the upper disturbance is set to move into Texas on Tuesday PM into Wednesday. It is coming from the Mountain/Pacific Northwest region. Both features will aid the lifting of the moisture and heat to generate storms.
4. Changing wind direction & speed. This will increase for the next few days, but will allow the moisture to reach the top of the storms, keeping the storm complex sustained and produce heavy rain (potential flooding).
Rain chances will continue through the end of the week once a front can arrive Friday into Saturday.