Latest Weather Alerts:
Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 5 AM for the following counties: Angelina, Cherokee, Gregg, Harrison, Marion, Nacogdoches, Panola, Rusk, Sabine, San Augustine, Shelby, & Smith.
Multiple Severe T-Storm Warnings in effect as the cold front moves into the northern areas.
Here’s a live look at radar as we track our severe weather chances later today. Cloud breaks in Central Texas leading to significant warming, and will aid in storm development into the late afternoon and evening.
Here is the outlook from the Storm Prediction Center for today. The key takeaway here is that we have all weather ingredients in play for severe storms to form this afternoon and evening. This is why all of our area is under some risk of severe weather, but we are not expecting this to be a widespread event.
As we’ll explain more below, all weather ingredients support a severe threat Friday. You’ll want to be weather aware and prepared. Here is more information about weather preparedness and safety.
Take a moment to download the East Texas Storm Team app. You can view Futurecast, and set up custom alerts for multiple locations. You will be notified of lightning and storm alerts, rotating storm threats, and custom messages from your East Texas Storm Team. Download for Apple and Android devices. Also, have a secondary way to receive weather information, like a NOAA Weather Radio.
WEATHER INGREDIENTS FOR FRIDAY
1. Gulf moisture
Very humid conditions with dew points in the middle to some upper 60s this afternoon. This will allow storms to become surface-based and increase the risk for large hail & a tornado if a supercell storm develops.
2. Very warm temperatures + daytime heating
Peeks of afternoon sunshine is still on track, sending temperatures to the middle 70s and perhaps to the lower/middle 80s. Any sunshine will be our enemy on as it makes the atmosphere more unstable.
3. Upper-level energy & cold front (Lift)
The cold front late Friday night and the upper-air dynamics that increase this afternoon will allow storms to develop in the afternoon and evening before drier air moves in by Saturday morning. This image below showing the areas of reds/yellows is where greatest lift is occurring, and note that it increases for East Texas during the late afternoon hours.
All of these ingredients support the severe weather risk for Friday. Our primary threat would be very large hail (greater than 1.75″ in diameter–that’s the size of golf balls). The wind, tornado, and heavy rain threats are higher too. The most important thing to note, not everyone will see a severe storm like this. However, our entire area has the chance to see it given the parameters mentioned above.