We are gearing up for a potential active weather day today. All severe weather ingredients are projected to come together to give East Texas a significant threat of damaging wind gusts and possible tornadoes. A Severe Weather Alert Day is in effect this evening through early tomorrow morning.
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The 12 AM outlook from the Storm Prediction Center has almost all of East Texas under a Moderate Risk. East Texas sees a moderate risk issued less than a handful of times per year.
We are projecting two rounds of storms. The main round will be associated with the actual cold front and will impact everyone. So these severe threats below are based off of Round #2.
Round #1 of storms is a conditional risk if they develop. These storms would be single in nature, not impacting a large population, but could do the most damage. These are called supercell storms – they are able to tap into all the available energy from the atmosphere and have been proven to produce serious damage. That type of environment in East Texas is favorable and conducive to occur. If this does happen, the tornado threat and hail threat will be amplified.
Round #2 will come with the cold front. The upgrade to the Moderate Risk for most of East Texas is indicating a significant damaging wind threat will likely occur with the line of storms as they increase late this evening into Saturday morning.
Regardless of Round #1 or #2, our atmosphere has a lot of wind energy with it and that will support the damaging wind and tornado threat. Our Futurecast Rotation Potential shows that we have an atmosphere that will support possible rotating storms and very strong wind gusts.
Finally, a big drop in temperatures is on the way Saturday. After warming into the middle to upper 70s on Friday, colder air rushes in behind the storms and drops us to the 40s and some 30s by tomorrow morning. Tomorrow will be very cold and then better weather returns on Sunday.
We are ready to provide you storm coverage today. Be prepared by knowing your safety plan before severe weather strikes.